Re: The Zimmer Principle
Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2021 7:50 pm
I don’t know much about the cap but I would be inclined to pay his salary and move on from there.
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I didn't express my view very well. Brady is beyond everybody. Then we have that group that will lead their team to the playoffs every year. We all know them Brees,Wilson,Rodgers,Big Ben ect.... They are special. Then we have the next group. Cousins, Grap, Stafford ect. I'll call them good QBs. They need much more help around them.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 24, 2021 8:12 amFriend, there are a LOT of hardworking men in the NFL. A lot. Compared to the average high school football player, they're all special. Compared to the vast majority of college players, they're special.CharVike wrote: ↑Tue Mar 23, 2021 11:12 pm
When you say special about any player that really has no meaning. Mahomes has become the bench mark for QBs. He lead his team to back to back Super Bowls. He's better than Rodgers by a mile based on that. But Mahomes lead his team to zero TDs in the Super Bowl. There was nothing special about that. He let an old man beat him. There's nothing special about that either. He had a 52 rating. That's laughable. He has down moments also and he's special. Every team scratches were it itches. The Bucs needed a QB the itch and the scratch was Brady. Maybe the best FA signing in the history of the NFL. He took a 7-9 squad to a Super Bowl victory beating the most special QB easily. That's how you scratch. There's no reason why that won't happen again. I don't think the Bucs showed a long term sense of itself they happen to hit it out of the park with a guy that I thought what a stupid signing. 43 years old. Good luck with that one. It worked perfect. That Pats had an itch no QB and the scratch was Newton. They are still scratching with no long term sense of itself. I know that Cousins is labeled a loser for some reason. But the guy was a low round pick for a QB and beat out a top 5 franchise QB. That's a big win in my book. That takes hard work. Or good luck some will call it I'm sure. We face the same problem that we have faced for a very long time. We need to be out a future HOF MVP QB. I don't see that as an easy task. I would rather be in the NFC East were the winner Dak will take that one. No competition helps.
But there are only 1,696 players in the NFL, and maybe 48 quarterbacks. So in this case, "special" means you stand out against your peers, who are the best of the best. To be special in the NFL, you've got to accomplish something more than earning a starting position. Spergon Wynn started 3 games in the NFL as a quarterback. Spergon Wynn was not special. Patrick Mahomes was MVP in his first year as a starter and won a Super Bowl in his second. That's special. I've given you an extreme comparison, obviously, but it's to make a point. Special is more than starting. Stump Hunter laid out a more complete argument, but I hope you get the picture.
Many make the case for Kirk Cousins' being special because of his stats. Here's an interesting comp. If you compare Cousins' first 93 games in the league to the first 93 games of Matt Ryan and Drew Brees, Cousins' stats are significantly better. But any comparison to those two is silly. Ryan was league MVP and made a Super Bowl, which he should have won. Brees made 13 Pro Bowls, was a Super Bowl MVP, and will be a first-ballot Hall-of-Famer. Meanwhile Kirk Cousins has one playoff win.
When I say Kirk Cousins isn't special, I'm talking about highest-paid-player-in-the-league kind of special. Unless something changes, that's exactly what he'll be in 2022. Do you honestly believe his play merits being the highest-paid player in the NFL?
....I'm not saying Cousins is nearly as good as Aaron Rodgers. But of course any time I put up a stat regarding Cousins and how that specific stat aligns with top QBs in the NFL, this is the result. A picture is painted that I am pushing that Cousins is on Aaron Rodgers level. I'm not.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 25, 2021 12:58 pm
First off, if you're going to use the eye test when comparing Cousins to Bridgewater, then I can use the eye test to compare Cousins to Rodgers, or any of the other quarterbacks who are ahead of him on the QBR list. And buddy, he just doesn't compare in any way to Aaron Rodgers ... especially the eye test.
I mean no offense Kapp, but I'd much rather put my trust in Rob Bryzinski who is arguably one of the best, if not the best, cap managers in the NFL over a fan on a message board. Everyone keeps saying year after year, you just wait, he's going to kill our team and it's yet to happen. No less this year was arguably the most active we've ever been in free agency. And yeah, guys had to be cut but were you planning on holding onto guys like Rudy and Stephen? I sure wasnt, regardless of our cap number. As for Reiff, I've been asking for his release for two years now. Every team makes cuts every year. That's not the question. The question is, will Cousins cap hit cripple this team. Everyone says it will year after year and they've been wrong year after year.You are quick to congratulate Vikings' management for getting free agents. But the Salary Cap Shell Game can't continue indefinitely. You just wait. The new TV deal doesn't kick in until 2023 and stadiums won't be full this fall, so word is the cap won't go up very much next year. As a result, Cousins' hit, about 24% of the total cap, will cripple this team. And it'll be a direct result of what the Vikings did LAST YEAR, when they extended him just to pick up $7 million in cap space.
This is what the Vikings do. They overpay players, then manipulate contracts and the cap in succeeding years. It's maxing out one credit card and paying it off with another. Eventually it'll catch up to them.
This stat is not true. Just a quick check sees he beat the 9-7 Cowboys in 2017 after being down 3. I haven't looked at his other 14 wins, but my guess is there are more if just the second game I checked showed the stat wrong.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:44 pm
However, when Aaron Rodgers is 0-42 when trailing by more than 1 point in the 4th quarter in his career vs winning teams, yes that should 1000% be questioned. I feel like this is exactly how the media would react if this stat was brought up to them too....they'd deflect because he's the golden boy.
With all due respect, this stat should be questioned. So that's what I did.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:44 pm However, when Aaron Rodgers is 0-42 when trailing by more than 1 point in the 4th quarter in his career vs winning teams, yes that should 1000% be questioned.
2018, Green Bay Packers, if our kicker makes a single kick, we win.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:32 pmWith all due respect, this stat should be questioned. So that's what I did.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:44 pm However, when Aaron Rodgers is 0-42 when trailing by more than 1 point in the 4th quarter in his career vs winning teams, yes that should 1000% be questioned.
I found an article with 21 separate examples of where Rodgers did exactly what this stat says he didn't do, but the Packers either lost in overtime without ever getting the football, or the other team "technically" didn't have a winning record.
Here are a few (quoted directly from the article):
2014 NFC Championship: After their famous collapse, the Packers find themselves trailing 22-19 with 1:25 left. Rodgers rallies and is able to put together a game-tying drive that sends the game to OT. He never sees the ball again.
2015 Divisional: Packers trail Arizona by 7. It’s 4th & 20 with 55 seconds left and the Packers need to go 96 yards to tie the game. Rodgers delivers 2 of the best throws ever to send the game to OT, then doesn’t see the ball again.
2016 Divisional: Tied game against Dallas, 3rd & 20 with 12 seconds left. Rodgers delivers another one of the greatest throws we’ve ever seen to Jared Cook to set up the game-winning field goal. The game was tied (Packers weren’t trailing by more than 1 point), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2017 Week 5: Cowboys score to go up 31-28 with 1:13 left. Rodgers puts together a game winning drive and throws a TD to Adams with 11 seconds left for the win. Cowboys had a 2-2 record at the time (not above .500), so it doesn’t count towards the stat, even though they finished the year above .500.
2018 Week 1: Packers trail the Bears 20-0 in the 3rd quarter and 20-3 in the 4th quarter. Rodgers comes back from injury at halftime and puts together the crazy comeback to win. However, this was week 1, so the Bears were 0-0 and couldn’t have a winning record yet (even though they finish the season 12-4), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2019 Week 6: Packers trail the Lions (who are 2-1-1 at the time) by 9 with 10 minutes left in the 4th. Rodgers executes the comeback and the Packers win on a game-winning field goal. This one should count towards the stat.
Here's the article.
All of these count toward the so-called choke-stat-losses Rodgers has suffered. Honest to goodness, it represents no more than 90 seconds worth of research on my part, and I could have cited any of at least a dozen more articles debunking the same thing.
Meanwhile, I'm fairly sure there aren't 21 instances of Kirk Cousins leading his team to a come-from-behind victory against ANYBODY, let alone against winning teams. To my recollection, he's done it once in 50 games since he's been in Minnesota, last year against the awful Panthers.
You’re halfway to 21. Please read what I said.Rhodes Closed wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 12:14 am2018, Green Bay Packers, if our kicker makes a single kick, we win.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:32 pm
With all due respect, this stat should be questioned. So that's what I did.
I found an article with 21 separate examples of where Rodgers did exactly what this stat says he didn't do, but the Packers either lost in overtime without ever getting the football, or the other team "technically" didn't have a winning record.
Here are a few (quoted directly from the article):
2014 NFC Championship: After their famous collapse, the Packers find themselves trailing 22-19 with 1:25 left. Rodgers rallies and is able to put together a game-tying drive that sends the game to OT. He never sees the ball again.
2015 Divisional: Packers trail Arizona by 7. It’s 4th & 20 with 55 seconds left and the Packers need to go 96 yards to tie the game. Rodgers delivers 2 of the best throws ever to send the game to OT, then doesn’t see the ball again.
2016 Divisional: Tied game against Dallas, 3rd & 20 with 12 seconds left. Rodgers delivers another one of the greatest throws we’ve ever seen to Jared Cook to set up the game-winning field goal. The game was tied (Packers weren’t trailing by more than 1 point), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2017 Week 5: Cowboys score to go up 31-28 with 1:13 left. Rodgers puts together a game winning drive and throws a TD to Adams with 11 seconds left for the win. Cowboys had a 2-2 record at the time (not above .500), so it doesn’t count towards the stat, even though they finished the year above .500.
2018 Week 1: Packers trail the Bears 20-0 in the 3rd quarter and 20-3 in the 4th quarter. Rodgers comes back from injury at halftime and puts together the crazy comeback to win. However, this was week 1, so the Bears were 0-0 and couldn’t have a winning record yet (even though they finish the season 12-4), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2019 Week 6: Packers trail the Lions (who are 2-1-1 at the time) by 9 with 10 minutes left in the 4th. Rodgers executes the comeback and the Packers win on a game-winning field goal. This one should count towards the stat.
Here's the article.
All of these count toward the so-called choke-stat-losses Rodgers has suffered. Honest to goodness, it represents no more than 90 seconds worth of research on my part, and I could have cited any of at least a dozen more articles debunking the same thing.
Meanwhile, I'm fairly sure there aren't 21 instances of Kirk Cousins leading his team to a come-from-behind victory against ANYBODY, let alone against winning teams. To my recollection, he's done it once in 50 games since he's been in Minnesota, last year against the awful Panthers.
2019, Denver Colorado. He threw the comeback game of his life.
2020, Panthers, played great in the face of adversity.
He is further credited with an ADDITIONAL 7 4th Quarter Comebacks with the Redskins.
Come on man, this #### is easily verifiable.
https://purplepainforums.com/thread/411 ... ing-drivesJ. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 6:42 amYou’re halfway to 21. Please read what I said.Rhodes Closed wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 12:14 am
2018, Green Bay Packers, if our kicker makes a single kick, we win.
2019, Denver Colorado. He threw the comeback game of his life.
2020, Panthers, played great in the face of adversity.
He is further credited with an ADDITIONAL 7 4th Quarter Comebacks with the Redskins.
Come on man, this #### is easily verifiable.
Well to start, I'm not sure if this stat was counting playoffs or not. I've seen this stat multiple times although I saw another one very similar a while back that read....J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:32 pmWith all due respect, this stat should be questioned. So that's what I did.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:44 pm However, when Aaron Rodgers is 0-42 when trailing by more than 1 point in the 4th quarter in his career vs winning teams, yes that should 1000% be questioned.
I found an article with 21 separate examples of where Rodgers did exactly what this stat says he didn't do, but the Packers either lost in overtime without ever getting the football, or the other team "technically" didn't have a winning record.
Here are a few (quoted directly from the article):
2014 NFC Championship: After their famous collapse, the Packers find themselves trailing 22-19 with 1:25 left. Rodgers rallies and is able to put together a game-tying drive that sends the game to OT. He never sees the ball again.
2015 Divisional: Packers trail Arizona by 7. It’s 4th & 20 with 55 seconds left and the Packers need to go 96 yards to tie the game. Rodgers delivers 2 of the best throws ever to send the game to OT, then doesn’t see the ball again.
2016 Divisional: Tied game against Dallas, 3rd & 20 with 12 seconds left. Rodgers delivers another one of the greatest throws we’ve ever seen to Jared Cook to set up the game-winning field goal. The game was tied (Packers weren’t trailing by more than 1 point), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2017 Week 5: Cowboys score to go up 31-28 with 1:13 left. Rodgers puts together a game winning drive and throws a TD to Adams with 11 seconds left for the win. Cowboys had a 2-2 record at the time (not above .500), so it doesn’t count towards the stat, even though they finished the year above .500.
2018 Week 1: Packers trail the Bears 20-0 in the 3rd quarter and 20-3 in the 4th quarter. Rodgers comes back from injury at halftime and puts together the crazy comeback to win. However, this was week 1, so the Bears were 0-0 and couldn’t have a winning record yet (even though they finish the season 12-4), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2019 Week 6: Packers trail the Lions (who are 2-1-1 at the time) by 9 with 10 minutes left in the 4th. Rodgers executes the comeback and the Packers win on a game-winning field goal. This one should count towards the stat.
Here's the article.
All of these count toward the so-called choke-stat-losses Rodgers has suffered. Honest to goodness, it represents no more than 90 seconds worth of research on my part, and I could have cited any of at least a dozen more articles debunking the same thing.
Meanwhile, I'm fairly sure there aren't 21 instances of Kirk Cousins leading his team to a come-from-behind victory against ANYBODY, let alone against winning teams. To my recollection, he's done it once in 50 games since he's been in Minnesota, last year against the awful Panthers.
Whether you want to find a game or two that proves this stat wrong, go for it. But at the end of the day, Rodgers and Cousins CAN be compared in this regard. If you want to knock Kirk for it, knock the golden boy too. I'm not comparing the two as QBs, I'm comparing the two in terms of their ability in the 4th quarter.Rodgers is 0-38 when trailing heading into the 4th quarter
But this can go both ways. If you want to say it's Cousins job to put them in position to win, isnt it equally the defenses responsibility to stop them late in the 4th....after Kirk gives us lead in the 4th quarter? Like it isnt taken into consideration if the defense busts a nut late in the game?StumpHunter wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 8:24 amhttps://purplepainforums.com/thread/411 ... ing-drives
Since Cousins has joined the Vikings he has 5 4QC or GWDs. Rodgers had 9 on 3 fewer opportunities to comeback. A 19% success rate versus 38%.
Look, I'm no fan of Aaron Rodgers. But I can respect what the man has done. When you say he's 0-and-whatever in some particular situation, that's honestly pretty disrespectful.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 8:53 amWell to start, I'm not sure if this stat was counting playoffs or not. I've seen this stat multiple times although I saw another one very similar a while back that read....J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:32 pm
With all due respect, this stat should be questioned. So that's what I did.
I found an article with 21 separate examples of where Rodgers did exactly what this stat says he didn't do, but the Packers either lost in overtime without ever getting the football, or the other team "technically" didn't have a winning record.
Here are a few (quoted directly from the article):
2014 NFC Championship: After their famous collapse, the Packers find themselves trailing 22-19 with 1:25 left. Rodgers rallies and is able to put together a game-tying drive that sends the game to OT. He never sees the ball again.
2015 Divisional: Packers trail Arizona by 7. It’s 4th & 20 with 55 seconds left and the Packers need to go 96 yards to tie the game. Rodgers delivers 2 of the best throws ever to send the game to OT, then doesn’t see the ball again.
2016 Divisional: Tied game against Dallas, 3rd & 20 with 12 seconds left. Rodgers delivers another one of the greatest throws we’ve ever seen to Jared Cook to set up the game-winning field goal. The game was tied (Packers weren’t trailing by more than 1 point), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2017 Week 5: Cowboys score to go up 31-28 with 1:13 left. Rodgers puts together a game winning drive and throws a TD to Adams with 11 seconds left for the win. Cowboys had a 2-2 record at the time (not above .500), so it doesn’t count towards the stat, even though they finished the year above .500.
2018 Week 1: Packers trail the Bears 20-0 in the 3rd quarter and 20-3 in the 4th quarter. Rodgers comes back from injury at halftime and puts together the crazy comeback to win. However, this was week 1, so the Bears were 0-0 and couldn’t have a winning record yet (even though they finish the season 12-4), so it doesn’t count towards the stat.
2019 Week 6: Packers trail the Lions (who are 2-1-1 at the time) by 9 with 10 minutes left in the 4th. Rodgers executes the comeback and the Packers win on a game-winning field goal. This one should count towards the stat.
Here's the article.
All of these count toward the so-called choke-stat-losses Rodgers has suffered. Honest to goodness, it represents no more than 90 seconds worth of research on my part, and I could have cited any of at least a dozen more articles debunking the same thing.
Meanwhile, I'm fairly sure there aren't 21 instances of Kirk Cousins leading his team to a come-from-behind victory against ANYBODY, let alone against winning teams. To my recollection, he's done it once in 50 games since he's been in Minnesota, last year against the awful Panthers.
Whether you want to find a game or two that proves this stat wrong, go for it. But at the end of the day, Rodgers and Cousins CAN be compared in this regard. If you want to knock Kirk for it, knock the golden boy too. I'm not comparing the two as QBs, I'm comparing the two in terms of their ability in the 4th quarter.Rodgers is 0-38 when trailing heading into the 4th quarter
This guy has been in the league 16 years now and has been to and/or won ONE SB in that time. No less that was 10 years ago. And everyone continues to praise him. All these great "records" season after season and what does he have to show for it? His last few playoff exits, he has folded like a lawn chair.
Again, for the 1,000th time, I'm not saying Cousins is as good as Aaron Rodgers. But Rodgers is not a comeback hero like he's often claimed to be. He got mopped up BAD by Tampa twice this year. Once during the regular season (when Tampa wasnt even playing great) and then in the playoffs. Where he "only lost by 5" but turned it on during garbage time (sound familiar) to make the game look a lot closer than it was.
Then look at the year prior vs. San Fran. Gets flat out mopped up in the regular season (threw for 104 damn yards) and then once again in the playoffs. Where he once again turned it on during garbage time when he was down 34-7.
So yes, Rodgers does indeed put his team in those situations. Those are 4 total games against the SB champ/runner up and he couldnt even make it a game. Not one of them. Cousins played both of those teams each of those years. He didnt play great either. But hell, he very well could have played better than Rodgers did.
So I guess, way to go Aaron Rodgers for usually beating the teams you should beat to get your 13-3 record. But shame on you for folding like a lawn chair against the better teams when the season is on the line.
That happens to every QB. Since 2018, Cousins has lost 4 games where he has lead in the 4th. The league average over that time was 4.06.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 9:52 amBut this can go both ways. If you want to say it's Cousins job to put them in position to win, isnt it equally the defenses responsibility to stop them late in the 4th....after Kirk gives us lead in the 4th quarter? Like it isnt taken into consideration if the defense busts a nut late in the game?StumpHunter wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 8:24 am
https://purplepainforums.com/thread/411 ... ing-drives
Since Cousins has joined the Vikings he has 5 4QC or GWDs. Rodgers had 9 on 3 fewer opportunities to comeback. A 19% success rate versus 38%.
Spielman doesn't seem to agree with you.StumpHunter wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 1:40 pm At some point after year 6 of needing to point to all of the reasons a QB doesn't win games instead of being able to point to all the success he has had at actually winning games, it is time to admit he isn't good enough.
So again, instead of pointing to his successes, he is defended by someone making excuses for the failures.VikingLord wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 6:56 pmSpielman doesn't seem to agree with you.StumpHunter wrote: ↑Wed Mar 31, 2021 1:40 pm At some point after year 6 of needing to point to all of the reasons a QB doesn't win games instead of being able to point to all the success he has had at actually winning games, it is time to admit he isn't good enough.
When I read this discussion I keep thinking about that game last year against the Seahawks.
Cousins and the offense drive down inside the Seattle 10 and need inches on 4th down to seal the win. The Vikings run the ball and fail to get it, after which the Seahawks drive the length of the field, converting one improbable 4th-and-long and then scoring the winning TD on another 4th-and-distance to win.
With a better offensive line, the Vikings probably win that game. With a more imaginative or aggressive play call on the 4th-and-inches, or even a simple QB sneak by the much-maligned Kirk Cousins, the Vikings probably win that game. With a better defensive effort, the Vikings probably win that game.
It is almost impossible to measure the relative contribution of Cousins to the outcomes he is associated with in the situations you are laying at his feet. Did he throw pick sixes that were returned for the points difference in those late losses? Maybe he fumbled it? In what percentage of those losses over those 6 years can you clearly lay the responsibility for the outcome at his feet?