Mothman wrote:It's funny, Adrian Peterson didn't make it hard to have a good passing attack when Brett Favre was the Vikings QB.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts. I have very little confidence in PFF's stats and assessments so it's hard to comment on a lot of the other stuff you posted. However, I agree that Bridgewater is miscast in Norv's offense. I'm not sure why they thought that pairing made sense.
I also have to say that from what I've seen, Wallace isn't just being used as a "one trick pony". He's run everything from end arounds to crossing routes to go routes. I think Norv is trying to find different ways to get the ball to him. It's just not working out..
It would be nice if we could replicate that 2009 team, wouldn't it? haha. That O-line had guys like Hutchinson, Sullivan, and Mckinnie. That's probably the last time too you could legitimately say the O-line was "not bad" lol. I'd sacrifice my first born for a guy like Hutchinson these days...
But in all seriousness, I never said it was impossible to have a good passing attack with Peterson, just that he makes it more difficult than a guy like Leveon Bell who's not only a top 3 rusher but also top 5 in both pass blocking and receiving which basically means he's "plug and play".
If our O-line could run block more effectively, we'd be able to run peterson out of the shotgun more because he wouldn't be met in the backfield as much before he's had a chance to even do anything, I probably didn't put my thoughts together well enough there but that's why I was talking about the negative yardage runs. Or if Teddy was a top tier passer from under center then we also wouldn't have a problem, but most QB's prefer passing out of the pistol or shotgun formations. We just happen to have a problem because of how all the dynamics lay out as a whole.
UKno1VIKING wrote:This is one of the best post's i've seen regarding the offence. Everyone seems to have their opinion on why its struggling. This is a good balanced review, and you've put your point accross very well.
One final point, in '12 Peterson carried the team into the playoffs. "the team". A useless QB, an average O-line, average receivers and a below average defence.
Peterson is in the same form for me as he was then. Now he has a much better QB, decent set of receivers, and an excellent defence to help him. Only the O-line is a downgrade.
Why thanks! Glad you enjoyed it.
I agree with your final point, when we made the playoffs in 2012 Peterson basically carried the team, Ponder did just enough to be a factor, and the defense was "good enough" to keep us in those games. Fast forward a bit and the QB play is slightly better (stats wise), Peterson's still carrying the team, and now the defense is legit very good.
We never got to see how that 2012 run would have played out since Ponder got hurt and Musgrave tried to force Webb to be a pocket passer in the playoffs (when guys like kaepernick and the read option were just OBLITERATING the packers back then) but I have a feeling we'll get that chance this year.
autobon7 wrote:I point to OL health (lack of) and Turner. I too am confused why the Viks thought TB was a better fit for Norv than Carr. I point to Turner for not creating ways to get the ball into the hands of Wallace and Patterson. Even Wright does not see the ball that much. And what about Johnson? It just seems like Turner does not know how to blend these players in since AP is back. We all know that our offense could use more TD's and it's so frustrating to see the lack of use of these players and lack of creativity from our OC. I lay most of the blame on Turner.
I think that's a fair take, I haven't watched enough of the coaches film but I have seen some very strange route concepts and what not. The one thing that does bug me is how a lot of teams run what they call "natural pick" plays where two wide receivers run routes in a way that sometimes the CB's get "rubbed out". It's like setting a screen in basketball where it gets a guy open for a split second until the defender recovers. I feel like our WR's just kind of run "individual routes" like "you go deep, you do a shallow cross, you do a button hook" okay done.
mansquatch wrote:I've spent a lot of time wondering why they are not using more of a traditional "west coast" style O with short and medium crossing routes that leverage the speed we have at WR. This teams seems particularly well built for that sort of attack.
Simply put, Norv isn't a WCO kind of guy!
It's one of the issues though with drafting Teddy, I don't want to say square hole, round peg but it'll be interesting to see what they do going forward to make this combo work.
Cliff wrote:
It seems like he said the passing attack suffers because of Teddy's/Oline shortcomings mostly. Teddy's not as good behind center and we're having to be in that formation to make up for offensive line deficiencies. Peterson is only a factor insomuch as he didn't have enough success out of the shotgun to enable to play to Teddy's strength (playing out of shotgun). If the offensive line wasn't terrible we might have a decent passing attack as Teddy could play out of the shotgun if the oline could open up proper running lanes out of the shotgun. Peterson's pass blocking does make it a bit more difficult in the passing game though. He isn't great at that.
I don't necessarily consider Peterson's pass-catching ability as a negative. He's only got 1 dropped pass this season so far. With 28 targets he's caught 82% of passing going his way (23/28). His drop percentage is 3.6% which 28th fewest drops among RB's with at least 20 targets.
If you're interested Mike Wallace has the most on the team with 4 (out of 52 targets). That's only 30th in the league but if you look at targets/drops he drops 7.7% which is 8th in the league for WR's targeted 40 times or more. He's catching only 53.8% of his passes (28/52). Compare that to Cole Beasley (DAL) who has caught 75% of his passes (39/52) while being thrown to by QB's with worse QBR. (Romo - 79.4, Cassel - 78.8, Teddy - 85.4).
Of course conditions are different from team to team and player to player. For example, they use Wallace for a lot of long throws which Teddy isn't very strong at. Though Wallace's average yards per catch is 11.1 and Beasley's is 10.1. Overall I think Wallace is underperforming (especially for his salary). Some of that lies with Teddy, but a decent chunk lies with Wallace too.
Top droppers; Leonard Hankerson (ATL) drops 17.4%, Ted Ginn Jr. drops 10.6%. Some of the better numbers; Larry Fitzgerald has 1 drop out of 111 targets, DeAndre Hopkins has 3 drops out of 143 targets, Julio Jones has 4 drops out of 141 targets.
I think the plan from the beginning was to run the offense primarily out of the shotgun. When that didn't work out it made Teddy less effective than he might have been otherwise and less of a fit for the offense.
Nice post, we're 12th in most passes dropped overall but then we're 31st in pass attempts so yeah, a lot of drops all things considered. I meant to include this in the original post but it must have slipped my mind but I think we have it covered now!
mansquatch wrote:I think it is worth noting that most of the league runs their QBs out of pistol and shotgun quite a bit. Brady, Rodger, Manning all seem throw out shotgun formations quite a bit. So it isn't like Teddy is a lonely. A lot has been made of this topic this season with what has been transpiring in Denver.
When you think about it, you are probably giving the QB double the time to survey the field given how fast an NFL rush is when throwing out of the gun vs. under center.
That being said, MN is in a situation where it has a special talent at RB and thus the under center snaps make a lot more sense.
I'm not sure what the answer is here aside from reps.
Yeah exactly, I mean a hall of fame guy like Peyton Manning sucked big time under center this year and they eventually had to settle on a compromise with that pistol formation.
I think the answer is if they can improve their o-line significantly to give added pass protection for Teddy and better run blocking for AD it may be possible to use the shotgun again and even run out of that formation or it may get easier for Teddy to pass from under center with more time. But yeah as far as this year goes it's probably just more reps for Teddy from under center and seeing if he can improve.
dead_poet wrote:
I don't know. They're going to continue to do what gives the team the best opportunity to win games week-in and week-out. When you have Adrian Peterson on your team (one of the best offensive players in the league) you probably continue to feed him until it's clear he's no longer your best option to win. That's not to say they're not going to upgrade the offense, but I'll be firmly in the camp that AD needs to be the focal point and do whatever you can to put him in the best position until proven the offense can be more productive by other means. Ideally Teddy and the receivers/O-line MATCH what AD can do (by raising their game play not AD being less productive) and legitimately have a "pick your poison" offense. Time will tell if they can get there next year or before AD is out of gas.
It's the million dollar question for me Fiestavike, but one thing is certain no matter which route they go, the O-line has to be improved, even if you don't want to do anything but give Peterson 80 carries a game, they could use better run blocking so I think in that sense that's the obvious place to look. Plan B looks pretty good, but no team would WANT things to be this way where they're scared to pass because of the bad things that can happen. Still, Plan B (which btw if anyone isn't following along, would just be a run first offense with the QB under center) could become Plan A with better pass blocking. I suppose it depends on how Teddy finishes out the year, we know he's effective in the shotgun passing offense they ran last year with AD suspended and we know Mckinnin is a capable RB in that role, if for no other reason than he just doesn't draw the same level of attention AD does so that's always something they could fall back on. If he improves under center then I think you just keep doing the same thing next year with an improved O-line and maybe another new toy for Teddy at WR.
Poet, of course as long as we have Peterson he'll likely be the focal point, but there is something to be said about how you draft, who you sign in free agency, and what you want to do to improve the offense as WHOLE next year. AD only has a few years left and how many of those will he truly dominate? (enough to warrant being the focal point?) I don't think you can draft a lineman for example that fits the profile as a great run blocker but questionable pass blocker just because you have AD. We need to find players good at BOTH, that can help the run game AND the pass game.
fiestavike wrote:
There isn't just one problem, so he's certainly not the problem. I'm not really interested in assigning blame, but seeing the pieces with their various strengths and weaknesses come together in a harmonious way.
Its a theory, but its not one I subscribe to. they both passed and ran out of it more effectively without him. Peterson is a liability in the shotgun because he's terribly uncomfortable running out of it and has no sense of the space and angles. He's also not great as a pass protector and not a tremendous weapon in the passing game. He's just a guy who's pretty much in the way in that formation. He can't be good at everything.

Well said, and my original post here wasn't to assign blame (well, it's hard to be neutral on the O-line LOL) but more just kind of lay out what I've seen and present some interesting data on it.
Mothman wrote:
People are talking like Bridgewater has just lit teams up from the shotgun and that's not the case.
What offense suits his skill set? A west coast offense? If that's the case, the choice might be between Bridgewater and Turner and Zimmer seems pretty committed to both.
Personally, I think Bridgewater needs to demonstrate more clearly that he's a player worth building around before the Vikes start making major decisions based on the idea that he's the key component to their long term success.
Teddy's QBR from the gun last season was 97.3. Carr's QBR from there THIS year (a guy I know you're high on from discussion in the carr / bridgewater thread) is 101.5, so despite having cooper / crabtree and the best pass blocking O-line in football Carr in his second year is only 4.2 points higher than Teddy was as a rookie.
Teddy was exceptionally good last year for a rookie.