Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

A forum for the hard core Minnesota Vikings fan. Discuss upcoming games, opponents, trades, draft or what ever is on the minds of Viking fans!

Moderator: Moderators

Can Peterson get to 2,500 yards?

Yes.
19
28%
No.
23
34%
Vikings won't let him.
18
26%
No one will ever do it.
8
12%
 
Total votes: 68

Purple bruise
Hall of Fame Candidate
Posts: 3565
Joined: Sun Apr 22, 2012 9:55 pm

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Purple bruise »

Reignman wrote:That's funny because I interpret the "improvement" a little differently. I know, surprise surprise, xD, but let me explain.

He was thrust into the starting role a little premature in 2011, but he played enough for the coaches to learn his down field floaters weren't going to work in the NFL. Fast forward to 2012 and the new ultra conservative game plan. Some seem to forget the plays we run have a lot to do with the skills (or lack there of) of the guy throwing the ball. With a shorter game plan, naturally you're going to see a rise in completion percentage. That would also help explain the drop in INT's. Shorter passes, more conservative play calling, and taking fewer chances. In other words after seeing what he had in 2011 they asked him to be more careful in 2012. I wonder why. And his drop in average yards per attempt (6.4 to 6.1) helps back it all up. Also his TD's per game dropped from 1.23 (10.5 games) to 1.13. Where you see dramatic I see concern. The fact that our passing offense got more conservative speaks volumes.

But you're right, we'll find out more by the end of 2013. I just hope the answer we get is definitive whether we win the super dole or not. I hope he lights it up or falls flat on his face so we don't go into another off-season with uncertainty.
He was thrust into a starting role a little premature, DO YOU THINK :lol:
Dude he had no training camp and then suffered a dibilitating hip pointer and a shoulder injury. Besides Harvin he had no wide recievers and a crappy line. :yawn: Fastforward to 2012 and even a basher can see his definate improvement. Winning four crucial games, beating the Packers in a must win (posting a 120 QB rating with 3 td passes and no ints.) getting to the play-offs. :confused: One and one half seasons and fans like you already have written him off. :?
Do not mistake KINDNESS for WEAKNESS!


Best to keep your mouth shut and be thought a fool rather than open it and remove all doubt.
User avatar
Mothman
Defensive Tackle
Posts: 38292
Joined: Wed Mar 26, 2003 11:48 am
Location: Chicago, IL
x 409

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Mothman »

808vikingsfan wrote:Vikings were 11th in sacks allowed and 5th in QB hits so I don't think protection was his problem.
Those stats don't provide a complete picture. It was a big problem at times last season.
QB's have performed better with worse. If we're talking about covered receivers, many times last year, I've watched Ponder force it in to coverage rather than look or wait for his other options. He needs to make better decisions and be more accurate for the Vikings to be successful. Is it all on Ponder? To make the SB, yes it is.
:wallbang: No, it isn't and it never will be. That very idea is ridiculous. It's not all on Ponder. It's not all on Brady. It's not all on Manning. Every time those QBs line up behind center there are 21 other players on the field, most of whom influence the outcome of the each play. There's no doubt that the QB's role is significant but making the Super Bowl (or making the playoffs or just winning a game) is never, ever all on one player. Football simply does not work that way.
The Vikings are not going anywhere if Ponder doesn't improve.
True enough but the same can be said about playing good defense, improving at WR, etc. The only way they're going anywhere is if they improve as a team. Ponder is just a part of that, not the sole factor in getting better or reaching the Super Bowl so why is there so much insistence from fans on making him that sole factor?
mondry
Hall of Famer
Posts: 8455
Joined: Fri Sep 28, 2007 12:53 pm

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by mondry »

Reignman wrote:That's funny because I interpret the "improvement" a little differently. I know, surprise surprise, xD, but let me explain.

He was thrust into the starting role a little premature in 2011, but he played enough for the coaches to learn his down field floaters weren't going to work in the NFL. Fast forward to 2012 and the new ultra conservative game plan. Some seem to forget the plays we run have a lot to do with the skills (or lack there of) of the guy throwing the ball. With a shorter game plan, naturally you're going to see a rise in completion percentage. That would also help explain the drop in INT's. Shorter passes, more conservative play calling, and taking fewer chances. In other words after seeing what he had in 2011 they asked him to be more careful in 2012. I wonder why. And his drop in average yards per attempt (6.4 to 6.1) helps back it all up. Also his TD's per game dropped from 1.23 (10.5 games) to 1.13. Where you see dramatic I see concern. The fact that our passing offense got more conservative speaks volumes.

But you're right, we'll find out more by the end of 2013. I just hope the answer we get is definitive whether we win the super dole or not. I hope he lights it up or falls flat on his face so we don't go into another off-season with uncertainty.
haha, you're right, that is funny! Especially since you can pretty much flip the nouns and have the argument work both ways, nearly word for word! Let me explain.

Some seem to forget the plays we run have a lot to do with the skill (or lack there of) of the guys catching the ball. With a shorter game plan, you're going to see a rise in Harvin and companies Yac, about the only thing they do well. That would also help explain the drop in INT's. Shorter passes, more conservative play calling, and taking fewer chances. In other words after seeing what they had in 2011, they decided to do the smart thing and not force what isn't there to guys who couldn't get separation or open down the field. I wonder why.

:rofl:

All facets of the offense (outside of maybe Peterson, but I"m sure he'd say he could do better!) need to be better in 2013. It looks like they've made the proper moves to accomplish that so I'm fairly optimistic about the upcoming season, should be fun.
User avatar
Mothman
Defensive Tackle
Posts: 38292
Joined: Wed Mar 26, 2003 11:48 am
Location: Chicago, IL
x 409

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Mothman »

808vikingsfan wrote:Nothing can provide a complete picture. But let's say if the Vikings gave up 100 sacks, you can make a pretty accurate assumption that their protection was bad. Use the Cardinals as an example. Without even looking, I would've guessed they would be at the top of the list in sacks allowed and they are with 58 sacks, 97 qb hits. Also, I don't remember protection being a hot topic in this forum last year. There weren't separate threads bashing the line like in previous years. Yes, there's always room for improvement, but the OL has improved every year since Sully took over and IMO, had it's best performance since Birk left.

Not a complete picture but you can get some idea of improvement from last year:

Year sacks QB hits
2011 49 76
2012 32 64

Analysis from footballoutsiders.com shows the Vikings improved from #32 to #16 in pass protection.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ol2012
Nevertheless, it was an issue and it was a significant issue at times (check out the games against Arizona, Seattle and Tampa Bay, for example) . It wasn't bad all year but there were games where it was awful, where it was a major problem and it had a seriously negative impact on the overall performance of the offense.

I'm not disagreeing that the protection was better in 2012 than it was in 2011 but I strongly disagree with the idea that protection wasn't a serious problem for Ponder.
The QB role is not just significant, it is the most significant position in all of team sports, even more so than a pitcher in BB since there are 30 pitchers on a team.
I'd argue that goalie in hockey is an equally significant position but it's an apples and oranges comparison and a different discussion. :)
Good QB play gives a team a higer margin of error. It doesn't force a team to play perfect the entire game. I believe this is what makes the difference. With good QB play, a team can afford to make mistakes and overcome them. It's what separates losers from SB winners. I know you don't want to hear it, but look at what Favre did to this team in 2009.Sacks are a relatively small percentage of the picture. Look at what Flacco did in the SB. Look at what Rodgers does for a mediocre Packers team. Jim Harbaugh knew it. That whole team was playing at a high level. But even he knew Smith wasn't getting his team to the SB.
I think the examples above somewhat undermine your argument that great QB play is what separates losers from SB winners. Favre certainly didn't do that for the 2009 Vikings. They still lost in the postseason. Rodgers and the Packers have been eliminated in the postseason two years in a row so clearly, great QB play hasn't been enough to even get them to another Super Bowl yet, even though their QB has arguably been the best in the league the last two seasons. The 49ers were close to reaching the Super Bowl in 2011 and lost in OT due to a botched special teams play. Kaepernick wasn't THE difference in SF reaching the Super Bowl in 2012 and failing to get there in 2011. Flacco wasn't the difference on his own either. Heck, he made a throw at the end of the 2011 AFCC game that should have put the Ravens in the Super Bowl that season but his teammate dropped it, which just further illustrates why it's not all on the QB.

I'm not suggesting that great QB play doesn't make a difference. I'm simply saying it's far from the only difference. That's why getting the Vikes to the Super Bowl isn't and never will be "all on Ponder". Sure, with good QB play a team can afford to make some mistakes and can sometimes overcome them. You can say the same thing about good defense. However, it's a team sport and teams with great QBs lose postseason games every year because they aren't good enough as a whole. Being strong in any area can help a team make up for weaknesses in another but championships are still won by teams, not quarterbacks. That simply does not change which is why winning the Super Bowl isn't just about Ponder. It's about team improvement.
Yes, the rest of team can improve and win a game or two more than last year. They may even win a playoff game. But to get to the SB and win it, Ponder needs to play at a level that he hasn't shown yet.
I agree. I just disagree that it's all on him. I think the o-line, receivers and defense all need to play at a level we haven't seen yet as well. The running game? That's Super Bowl caliber! :) However, last year's Vikes were not a championship-caliber team just missing a Super Bowl quarterback. They need to be better in quite a few areas.
You may think I'm a Ponder hater. To be honest, I really like him. I like his poise and attitude. But to think he can take us to the SB with what he's shown so far is stretching IMO. Believe it or not, Jackson made me a believer for one game when he actually carried the team without Peterson vs the Falcons. I have yet to get that feeling with Ponder.
I don't think you're a Ponder hater at all and I don't think he can take the Vikes to the Super Bowl with what he's shown so far either. He has to get better. I just keep reading posts that want to make getting to the Super Bowl ALL about that and it's not. That's all I'm saying.
Eli
Hall of Famer
Posts: 7946
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:52 pm

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Eli »

Anyone taking bets? I'd lay 100-1 he doesn't come close.

What I would much rather see is Peterson break Chris Johnson's NFL record for yards from scrimmage, which just happens to be 2509. How does 1600 yards rushing and 1000 yards receiving sound?
Demi
Commissioner
Posts: 23785
Joined: Sun Dec 12, 2004 4:24 pm
x 8

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Demi »

He can't block, and I've seen more balls bounce off his hands then any other HB. So no way that happens. Coaches won't put him on the field in those situations he's such a liability.
Eli
Hall of Famer
Posts: 7946
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:52 pm

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Eli »

Demi wrote:... and I've seen more balls bounce off his hands then any other HB.
No you haven't. Even if you think you have.
headless_norseman
All Pro Elite Player
Posts: 1878
Joined: Tue Jun 28, 2005 7:35 pm
Location: Sydney, Australia

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by headless_norseman »

I'd rather see 1,500+ yds rushing along with 3-400 yds receiving and 15 TD's.
A successful coach needs a patient wife, loyal dog, and great quarterback - and not necessarily in that order.

-- Bud Grant
Demi
Commissioner
Posts: 23785
Joined: Sun Dec 12, 2004 4:24 pm
x 8

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Demi »

Eli wrote: No you haven't. Even if you think you have.
Yes, I have. Even if you think I haven't.
User avatar
VikingLord
Hall of Famer
Posts: 8634
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 3:12 pm
Location: The Land of the Ice and Snow
x 1074

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by VikingLord »

The discussion about Ponder is intriguing, because so much of it is spread over a long period of time. Ponder's 2012 season was not an even season, and using stats from the entire season to evaluate his progress as a QB is necessarily going to tilt towards the negative, even though as Mondry pointed out there were season-long positives as well.

I still think the last four games of the season were the bellweather as a measure of Ponder's progress, and those games were all very good. Ponder threw it downfield more, was more accurate, was awesome on 3rd down, and his play was a reason the Vikes won those games, rather than a liability as it had been through much of the middle of the season. The fact that he improved in such a tough situation, with 2 tough road games and then another meaningful game at home that was do-or-die, is the main reason I'm optimistic that Ponder has turned the corner. These were tough games and I have no doubt that had Ponder played in them as he had through most of the middle part of the season there is no way the Vikes sniff the playoffs even with AD going off on a regular basis.

I'm hopeful Ponder pleasantly surprises everyone this year. With the offensive line intact, solid TE's, and what should amount to a better, more consistent corps of receivers, Ponder should surprise to the upside. He just has to find that consistency, but I think he's closer to that than most realize and we're going to see a very explosive and effective Viking offense this year.
User avatar
MV711
Backup
Posts: 72
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:41 am
Location: Stamford, CT

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by MV711 »

headless_norseman wrote:I'd rather see 1,500+ yds rushing along with 3-400 yds receiving and 15 TD's.
I'd be very happy with 1800-2000 yards and 400-500 yards receiving. If he needs to get 2500 yards rushing it will mean that our passing game isn't working well and he will be overworked. The passing game must produce otherwise the Vikes may be in real trouble!
PacificNorseWest
Career Elite Player
Posts: 2936
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2011 1:10 am
Location: Seattle, Wa
x 150

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by PacificNorseWest »

AP is my guy and I wish him to be deemed the greatest of all-time when he's finished, but this ballyhooed nonsense about his yards is irrelevant to me.

I just want to see them win a Super Bowl, dudes. :(
User avatar
Vike Fan 4 Life
Starter
Posts: 175
Joined: Sat Nov 29, 2008 9:18 pm

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Vike Fan 4 Life »

Demi wrote: Yes, I have. Even if you think I haven't.
http://scores.nbcsports.msnbc.com/fb/le ... L&rank=232

well at least last year you didn't, considering Doug Martin had 8 drops
Demi
Commissioner
Posts: 23785
Joined: Sun Dec 12, 2004 4:24 pm
x 8

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Demi »

Vike Fan 4 Life wrote: Yes, I have. Even if you think I haven't.

http://scores.nbcsports.msnbc.com/fb/le ... L&rank=232

well at least last year you didn't, considering Doug Martin had 8 drops
I mean over his career. Never seen as many outright terrible drops on perfect throws when he has no one around him and it just bounces off his hands. And it hasn't really improved. Either has his blocking. If either or both had, we wouldn't see near as much of Toby. Hopefully it's something he's working on.
User avatar
Mothman
Defensive Tackle
Posts: 38292
Joined: Wed Mar 26, 2003 11:48 am
Location: Chicago, IL
x 409

Re: Peterson and his 2,500 yard goal.

Post by Mothman »

Demi wrote:I mean over his career. Never seen as many outright terrible drops on perfect throws when he has no one around him and it just bounces off his hands. And it hasn't really improved. Either has his blocking. If either or both had, we wouldn't see near as much of Toby. Hopefully it's something he's working on.
I think he's clearly improved in both areas, although I wouldn't say he excels in either. He's missed some blocks and dropped some passes but your exaggerated criticism implies incompetence and that's simply not the case. Peterson's easily capable of catching 50+ passes a season should they choose to throw him to that much. I've seen him drop some catchable passes but it's a small percentage of the overall number thrown to him.
Post Reply