VikingsFan12345 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 25, 2025 6:25 pm
VikingLord wrote: ↑Thu Sep 25, 2025 12:50 pm
This is a tough game to predict because it is overseas and I'm not sold on Wentz as of yet. On a pound-per-pound basis the Vikings are the better team on both sides of the ball, but that won't mean much if the team doesn't execute.
As far as Aaron Rodgers goes, he's kind of playing like Cousins used to play where he wants to get the ball out quickly and if there is no quick release option he can be pressured and will make mistakes. So this is a game where the defense should have opportunities if they can pressure the shorter routes and force Rodgers to hold the ball longer. The Steelers are a really poor rushing offense, so as long as the Vikings make sure it stays that way I think they can tilt the field when the Steelers have the ball and hopefully goad Rodgers into making some mistakes or get him on the ground.
The Vikings offense who knows? On paper it looks lethal, but I still don't trust them on that side of the ball. Wentz I think is their best option currently at QB and I think he's capable of moving the chains and putting points on the board, but I think I need to see him continue playing at that level for a few games before I'd be willing to say he's the guy they should go with. Of course, if it isn't Wentz it would be McCarthy and I trust him even less than I trust Wentz. If they have to go to Brosmer, which could easily happen if Wentz gets hurt, all bets are off. I like what I've seen from Brosmer but I haven't seen nearly enough to think he's ready yet. But who knows? Hopefully we won't have to find out yet.
If the QB play is solid then I think the Vikings could romp with Addison returning and a mostly healthy offensive line. The Vikings should be able to run it and throw it against a Steelers defense that has looked pretty porous against both the run and pass.
I was going to pick this game in the Pick 4 but decided against it because I'm not confident that the QB position is settled. If Wentz performs, I think the Vikings win going away. If not, it will be a field goal fest most likely and anyone's game. I still like the Vikings in that situation.
I do think Wentz will perform well, though, so I'll go with
Vikings 35
Steelers 7
I like your optimism on the score but this is not the crappy Bengals, it will be a close game
The Steelers aren't better than the Bengals, at least statistically.
Here are the offensive rankings of the two teams (with the Vikings rankings thrown in for comparison, and keep in mind that 2 of the 3 games for the Vikings were among the worst all time for their offensive production):
Bengals:
- Rushing: 49.0 YPG (32nd)
- Passing: 171.7 YPG (27th)
- Total Yards: 220.7 YPG (32nd)
- Scoring: 19.3 PPG (23rd)
Steelers:
- Rushing: 63.0 YPG (31st)
- Passing: 184.0 YPG (24th)
- Total Yards: 247.0 YPG (30th)
- Scoring: 24.0 PPG (12th)
Vikings:
- Rushing: 122.3 YPG (13th)
- Passing: 145.7 YPG (30th)
- Total Yards: 268.0 YPG (28th)
- Scoring: 27.0 PPG (6th)
The Steelers are only marginally better than the Bengals offensively. Their scoring ranking is elevated for much the same reason the Vikings scoring average is elevated - their defense has created a lot of turnovers and they've either directly or indirectly scored points off those takeaways. But in terms of raw offensive performance, the Steelers look very similar to the Bengals, and the Steelers haven't had to deal with a QB change.
Defensively, these are the stats and rankings:
Bengals:
- Rushing: 119.0 YPG (21st)
- Passing: 240.7 YPG (25th)
- Total Yards: 359.7 YPG (25th)
- Scoring: 30.3 PPG (26th)
Steelers:
- Rushing: 139.3 YPG (27th)
- Passing: 246.7 YPG (26th)
- Total Yards: 386.0 YPG (28th)
- Scoring: 25.7 PPG (22nd)
Vikings:
- Rushing: 130.0 YPG (22nd)
- Passing: 141.3 YPG (3rd)
- Total Yards: 271.3 YPG (6th)
- Scoring: 18.7 PPG (11th)
If anything, the Steelers are objectively worse defensively. Their +5 turnover differential (tied for 1st overall) has made them look much better than they are in terms of record and, I assume, impacted your estimation of how good they are as compared to the Bengals.
I continue to believe this game will come down to how well the offense executes with Carson Wentz. If that side of the ball produces and avoids penalties and turnovers, if they were able to throttle the Bengals I don't see why things should turn out any differently against a pretty mediocre Steelers team. But we'll see.