mansquatch wrote: ↑Tue Dec 17, 2019 3:53 pm
Taking a look at the NFC playoff teams and how the've done vs. teams with winning records. (I'm not bothering with the NFC East teams.):
SF: Opponents with winning records 5: Record 3-2, Lost @ Home vs. SEA and @ BAL. 2 Road win vs. NO & LAR
NO: Opponents with winning records 3: Record 1-2 Lost @LAR, SF, won @ SEA
GB: Opponents with winning records 3: Record 2-1 Lost @ SF, won @ KC and MIN
SEA: Opponents with winning records 6: Record 3-3 Lost @LAR, home vs. BAL and NO, won MIN, @49ers, LAR
MIN: Opponents with winning records: 3 Record 0-3 Lost @KC, @GB, @ SEA
Analysis/Opinion:
IMO, SF has the most impressive record. They manhandled GB. They played the Ravens to the wire @BAL. They beat the Saints in a shootout. Loss vs. SEA is in division which is understandable, although it was at home. Looking at these results, I think they are still the scariest team in the NFC. Upcoming game vs. SEA is must watch IMO.
NO: I think this team is less impressive than their record and hype indicates. Their signature win is vs. SEA on the road which is a solid win, but it was in week 3. IMO, September wins are dubious as indicators. The team you face then is often not the same in December/January. (See us vs. GB) NO is likely closer to GB than it is to SF/SEA.
GB: As I've been saying, this is the biggest poser of the 5. They beat us in week 2 @ home. They won @KC the first week of Mahomes' injury. All other wins are vs. an extremely soft schedule. They've also benefited more from referees than any other team.
SEA: This is the other juggernaut in the NFC. They have some solid, competitive wins, including a road win in SF. However, they just got handled by LAR. IMO, SEA is a team that statistically may not be as good as it's record indicates, their point differential is weak. (So is the Packers') However, they are likely buoyed by getting to play at home in the playoffs. We were competitive there when we lost, but that is TOUGH place to get a win.
MIN: No way to sugar coat it, We've yet to prove it on the road vs. a winning team. However, it is worth noting that we are the only team on the list without a home game vs. an NFL team with a winning record. That is not insignificant, in fact our MNF showdown vs. GB is our first home game of the season vs a team with a winning record. This doesn't mean a whole lot, our record is what it is, but it continues to show the point that we've faced a difficult schedule in terms road games vs. home games. Both NO and GB have benefited from far easier schedules this year and that is a big contributor to our playoff seeding. Still I think if we lose vs. GB then this team has shown it is most likely also a playoff poser and benefiting from feasting on the NFC East all season. Above all else, Vikings need to prove it.
Playoff thoughts:
Irrespective of scheduling issues, the fact is we are most likely to be playing on the road in the playoffs. Our offense has shown that it can travel, plus we now have Thielen back. Recently the ST have also shown they can get it done. So the question becomes, as it has been in all competitive games this season: Can the defense get it together against the pass?
Don't be so quick to jump to conclusions here, things are developing. Both Trey Waynes and Xavier Rhodes played very limited snap counts vs. SD on Sunday, both under 20 snaps each. Zimmer is making changes and as we saw in the 2nd half vs LAC, it made a difference.
Here are the questions I'm thinking about heading into MNF and the post season:
1.) Just how much harder is our offense to defend with Thielen healthy?
2.) Do we get Cook back at 100% for the playoffs?
3.) Did the pass defense turn the page vs. LAC or was that an anamoly?
#3 is the biggest question heading into MNF and the Playoffs. .
Also worth noting: As much as DAL is an eyesore, their offense and front 7 can pose issues for certain teams, specifically SEA/SF. That first game they play will at home and likely vs. the other NFCE club. It is possible that his matchup could favor them to a degree such that they could pitch the upset. IMO the NFC playoffs are a bit less certain than they initially appear.