I just wanted to get the "longest post" award for this thread, so ...
I realize it’s an age-old debate over who carries the most “influence” over a team’s performance, coaches or players. And therefore who deserves the most credit/blame when things go right or wrong. Here’s my take, not saying I’m right.
I’ve coached (lacrosse) at several levels up to college. If you are not familiar, overall similar staff responsibilities to football, i.e., HC, OC, DC, etc. “Special teams” would be goalies and faceoff guys, they’re mostly crazy. Anyways I spent most of my time as a HS HC and had great teams, good teams and mediocre teams (fortunately never any horrid teams). I coached players that went on to win big awards at the college level, including one who won the lacrosse equivalent of the Heisman Trophy. And over all my years of coaching, I came to the following conclusion:
The coaching staff/management are responsible for 75% or more of the “issues” a team exhibits over time.
My staff, just like Zim’s and pretty much every other HS/college/pro staff, ALWAYS knew what the problems were. We were emphatic about going over game tape, not only in hindsight but in scouting. If you know your sport and you have the luxury of watching practice and game tape in the finest detail you can stand, then you KNOW what the problems are. The only real restraint is the number of hours in the day. And if you can hire someone to break down and parse the film first so you don’t have to? Wow, luxury of luxuries for a coaching staff.
I’ll repeat that for posterity – ALL THE IN-GAME PROBLEMS THIS TEAM HAS HAVE BEEN IDENTIFIED BY ZIMMER AND THE COACHING STAFF. That is probably the only 100% safe statement I’ll make here.
Now, there are some “issues leading to losing” that are very difficult to overcome. Lack of team speed when compared to the opposition – that’s a killer in just about any sport. And overall talent of course. But a good/great coaching staff mitigates all problems outside of the most difficult. Schemes can help disguise lack of team speed but cannot overcome it. Enough discipline to not have too many D players on an extra point try so your nose tackle calls a timeout we don’t have? Enough strength and technique in the OL so they don’t get dumped on their keyster every other play? Well, a good staff makes sure those things do not happen.
Let’s take one “issue” pointed out in this thread (also pointed out myriad of times before of course), that under pressure, Cousins gets skitterish and “cannot see” open receivers more than 15-20 yards away. If you don’t think this is a “new” problem, then there is no way our coaching staff has not identified it as an ongoing issue. If you are the HC making $5M a year, what’s the solution? You have contractual obligations to the QB – but do you just continue to let it happen, 30-40-50 games into your tenure with Cousins? Doesn’t that sound a bit preposterous?
The sign of a GOOD coaching staff is that the problem sets, if they are noticeable, are NOT the same over time, with old or new personnel. Issues with a specific player (i.e., a WR with brick hands) stick out as an anomaly. Or an OL who gets literally BLOWN backwards on half of all snaps – that stuff should only be happening to ONE player every 3-4 years on a well-coached (including strength coach) team. And only during practice. Or maybe never.
The sign of a POOR coaching staff is having the same in-game problems over and over. And it does not matter if you have the same personnel making the same mistakes (coaches are failing to help identify and correct problems), or if the mistakes are with different/new personnel (our kickers, etc.), which means our systems to teach the program to newcomers are failing.
That’s a long-winded way to say IMO our coaching staff needs to go. Say all you want about who’s doing what out on the field this year – if you can plug in different years and describe the exact same problems, trust me, it’s the coaching staff.
I’m a statistics/calculus guy from years back. I don’t really know what the currently accepted definition of “statistically impossible” might be, but I can say that it’s “almost statistically impossible” for us to have pretty much whiffed on every single offensive lineman we’ve either drafted or brought to the team in the last 10 years. The odds of that happening – having O’Neill be the one “standout shining star” in the bunch, are enormously low (picking O’Neill was a quick ad-hoc that I did not bother to research, correct me if I’m wrong). That probably tells you that our coaching and teaching have been really, really bad in that area for a long time. And once we “teach them to be mediocre or worse”, they pretty much stay that way.
As HC, it is YOUR JOB to identify this type of failure early on and get to management/owners and tell them we need to identify/interview/hire the absolute best OL and strength coaches from the pro or college ranks that money will buy. Zim should be saying “I don’t care if you pay them more than me!”. Maybe those efforts have taken place over the years and were not fruitful, but somehow, I doubt it. We’ve pretty much been the definition of nepotism and the buddy system when it comes to coaching hires over the last 10 years.
So, what’s the upshot for this team, this season? Whew, who knows. Zim and staff are not complete idiots, but - stop me if you’ve already seen this movie - performances on both sides of the ball have been spotty and inconsistent. Overall roster has good amounts of talent, certainly a handful of very good players capable of making big plays on both sides of the ball.
All I can say is this – with our current mix of coaches on the hot seat, coaches trying to prove themselves, young players trying to develop and veterans hoping to prove their next contract – well holy cow that is going to make for a few exciting wins and more than a few excruciating losses the rest of the way.
StumpHunter wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 9:19 am
Zimmer isn't the solution and I don't want to defend him because I think it is time to move on, but there seems to be this narrative that if we just got rid of the HC, a team that isn't close to competing with the best teams in the NFL talentwise would suddenly be winning SBs.
Oh yes, very true. Exhibit A is the Lions. And not only “get rid of the HC”, but also the notion that all we need is to replace Cousins (Stafford from Exhibit A). It takes an entire staff that knows what the heck they are doing, but it all starts with the HC. Even if you have an all-world-talent QB like Stafford.
StumpHunter wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 9:19 am
Don't worry though, Zimmer will be fired after we miss the playoffs, Rick, the guy who has employed that HC all these years instead of moving on will keep his job…
Last time I looked it up, both Zim and Rick report directly to Mark Wilf. While certainly plausible that Rick stays on and leads the search for a new HC, as GM’s “lead the search” for new HC’s all the time, that does not mean any future HC will report to the GM.
If the Wilfs think we need to move on from Zim, I could see them keeping Rick just so there is some continuity and not a wholesale firing of close to 60 front office people at once. I just can’t see the Wilfs pushing the button on that much turmoil in a single offseason.