Re: Who do we draft?
Posted: Thu Apr 02, 2015 7:23 am
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Waynes still gives me pause and I'm not so sure he's far-and-away the best corner in the draft (Peters, Johnson, Jones). That said, the more I watch of him the more I like him in Zimmer's system. I think some of my apprehension comes from some recent highly-touted corners that have been...average to downright bad (Gilbert, Dennard, Milliner, Claiborne, Kirkpatrick, Amukamara). Am I wrong or haven't there been a lot of very solid/elite first-round corners lately (or at least top-15 corners)? Rhodes might be the best of the bunch. Patrick Peterson went fifth overall to the Cardinals in 2011. I don't think Waynes is as highly touted as Peterson was, nor has his ball skills. Hayden was worth the #7 pick by Cleveland (they surprisingly drafted a good player). Is Waynes on par with Hayden? I have my doubts. Gilmore went #10 to the Bills in 2012 and I thought more of his skills coming out then than I do Waynes, and I think Gilmore is going to have a very good year with Rex this year.
Interesting. I really believe in Waynes. I dont think Peters is close to the all around type of CB that would fit so well with Smith and Rhodes back there. Going to look into CB's more though, I know Waynes mainly because he's in the Big 10.dead_poet wrote: Waynes still gives me pause and I'm not so sure he's far-and-away the best corner in the draft (Peters, Johnson, Jones). That said, the more I watch of him the more I like him in Zimmer's system. I think some of my apprehension comes from some recent highly-touted corners that have been...average to downright bad (Gilbert, Dennard, Milliner, Claiborne, Kirkpatrick, Amukamara). Am I wrong or haven't there been a lot of very solid/elite first-round corners lately (or at least top-15 corners)? Rhodes might be the best of the bunch. Patrick Peterson went fifth overall to the Cardinals in 2011. I don't think Waynes is as highly touted as Peterson was, nor has his ball skills. Hayden was worth the #7 pick by Cleveland (they surprisingly drafted a good player). Is Waynes on par with Hayden? I have my doubts. Gilmore went #10 to the Bills in 2012 and I thought more of his skills coming out then than I do Waynes, and I think Gilmore is going to have a very good year with Rex this year.
The more I think of it, the smaller my pool of preferred picks becomes (at 11). In order of preference at this point:
1. Cooper
2. Beasley
3. Scherff
4. Shelton
5/6. Collins/Trade down
With the exception of Beasley, I'm clearly going for safer, more high-floor guys. I don't think I would've taken the chance with Barr in 2014.
If we go with Waynes, I have confidence Zimmer can put him in a position to succeed, but I'm having doubts if he'd truly be the top pick on my board at that point. I don't think there's as much separation between him and the next 2-3 guys as some others believe. YMMV.
Why is that?PurpleKoolaid wrote:Interesting. I really believe in Waynes. I dont think Peters is close to the all around type of CB that would fit so well with Smith and Rhodes back there.
What? Barr ran a 4.66-40. Beasley ran a 4.53 (granted Beasley is a couple inches shorter and like 8 pounds lighter). Beasley is a monster. He beat Barr's vertical by seven inches and his broad jump by 11 inches. Barr beat Beasley in three cone, though. Beasley is more suited to a 3-4 but I think Zimmer would love to have him to work with as the "Will" to Barr's "Sam." That would be some serious speed on the edge.I think of Beasley as a slower Barr.
Probably not at 11. But R2 there will be options. We all know how much Zimmer values getting after the quarterback. Beasley/Bar combination would be killer.I really hope they look at more of a C J Mosely type LB next time they pick a LB.
I'm thinking starting Scherff as LG with the potential to try tackle in 2016 if it becomes evident that Kalil isn't the answer after 2015.Are you thinking of Scherff as a tackle or guard. I was surprised hearing some people want him as tackle. I was pretty hard on Kalil, but there's no way I would replace him yet, and not with our first pick.
I certainly understand the apprehension but in terms of CBs, he looks like one of the best bets in this draft. Of all the positions the Vikings could select, DB is the one where i'd have the most confidence in Zimmer's ability to identify what he needs in a player so if the Vikings did go with Waynes, I'd feel pretty good about it.dead_poet wrote: Waynes still gives me pause and I'm not so sure he's far-and-away the best corner in the draft (Peters, Johnson, Jones). That said, the more I watch of him the more I like him in Zimmer's system. I think some of my apprehension comes from some recent highly-touted corners that have been...average to downright bad (Gilbert, Dennard, Milliner, Claiborne, Kirkpatrick, Amukamara). Am I wrong or haven't there been a lot of very solid/elite first-round corners lately (or at least top-15 corners)? Rhodes might be the best of the bunch. Patrick Peterson went fifth overall to the Cardinals in 2011. I don't think Waynes is as highly touted as Peterson was, nor has his ball skills. Hayden was worth the #7 pick by Cleveland (they surprisingly drafted a good player). Is Waynes on par with Hayden? I have my doubts. Gilmore went #10 to the Bills in 2012 and I thought more of his skills coming out then than I do Waynes, and I think Gilmore is going to have a very good year with Rex this year.
I think we can all but forget about Scherff unless the Vikes trade up. He seems to be widely viewed as the top o-lineman in this draft, and as a "high floor" guy, and it's rare for the top 10 picks in a draft to go by without an o-lineman being drafted. In fact, based on your list, I wouldn't be surprised if Collins/trade down ended up being the only one of those options left, although you never know!The more I think of it, the smaller my pool of preferred picks becomes (at 11). In order of preference at this point:
1. Cooper
2. Beasley
3. Scherff
4. Shelton
5/6. Collins/Trade down
With the exception of Beasley, I'm clearly going for safer, more high-floor guys. I don't think I would've taken the chance with Barr in 2014.
I get that perspective. But you look at a guy like Milliner with Rex and Rex is supposedly a good defensive guy and he benched the former first-round pick several times for being flat-out awful. I'm not saying Waynes is Milliner, but there's only so much you can do with a guy that can't get the job done (again, not saying that's Waynes). I'm just thinking Waynes, in terms of BPA, is lower on my board than some other players and closer to the other three corners. I'd probably pick one of the ones I listed of other positions (if available) and perhaps try and trade back into the first round to get one of the other top three corners with the understanding I'm probably not losing much between them while also grabbing a more highly-ranked player on my board at 11. Like the Rhodes deal. But if Waynes is our selection, I'll be cautiously optimistic instead of having more confidence in one of the other players.Mothman wrote:I certainly understand the apprehension but in terms of CBs, he looks like one of the best bets in this draft. Of all the positions the Vikings could select, DB is the one where i'd have the most confidence in Zimmer's ability to identify what he needs in a player so if the Vikings did go with Waynes, I'd feel pretty good about it.
We'll see! The mocks I've been following have him going 8-18 range. I think it's quite conceivable he'll be there when we pick. This draft is top-loaded with pass rushers, and those are also a premium. Same with the top two QBs and 2-3 potential top-10 WRs.I think we can all but forget about Scherff unless the Vikes trade up. He seems to be widely viewed as the top o-lineman in this draft, and as a "high floor" guy, and it's rare for the top 10 picks in a draft to go by without an o-lineman being drafted.
That's what makes the draft so fun, it's so unpredictable.In fact, based on your list, I wouldn't be surprised if Collins/trade down ended up being the only one of those options left, although you never know!
Correct. He has the potential to be a very good guard in addition to capable tackle. I really like hedging with that kind of player as he not only will fill an immediate position of need (LG) but his versatility can only help if injury strikes or Kalil struggles. I like having another horse in the stable at a "premiere" position rather than being forced to potentially have to take a LT in 2016 if Kalil proves he can't be relied on as a starting NFL LT.I assume you meant La'El Collins, correct?
*exhales*If the Vikes traded Peterson, would any of the RBs join your pool of preferred picks at 11 or would you wait?
I understand. My take is that any player can disappoint but I firmly believe teams need to trust their evaluations and act accordingly. Waynes has been a good player for MSU and since DB is Zimmer's area of expertise, if the Vikes pulled the trigger on him at #11, I'd be willing to accept the idea that they felt he offered more value for what they're trying to build than some of the other players available. In other words, for what they're trying to build, maybe he will end up being the BPA. I've really come to believe that a good fit makes a big difference.dead_poet wrote: I get that perspective. But you look at a guy like Milliner with Rex and Rex is supposedly a good defensive guy and he benched the former first-round pick several times for being flat-out awful. I'm not saying Waynes is Milliner, but there's only so much you can do with a guy that can't get the job done (again, not saying that's Waynes). I'm just thinking Waynes, in terms of BPA, is lower on my board than some other players and closer to the other three corners. I'd probably pick one of the ones I listed of other positions (if available) and perhaps try and trade back into the first round to get one of the other top three corners with the understanding I'm probably not losing much between them while also grabbing a more highly-ranked player on my board at 11. Like the Rhodes deal.
Well, it's impossible. In 2005, the first o-lineman didn't go off the board until pick #13 so it could happen... as you said, the unpredictability of the draft is a big part of what makes it fun!We'll see! The mocks I've been following have him going 8-18 range. I think it's quite conceivable he'll be there when we pick. This draft is top-loaded with edge rushers, and those are also a premium. Same with the top two QBs and 2-3 potential top-10 WRs.
I like that idea. It's smart to have versatility on the OL if possible.Correct. He has the potential to be a very good guard in addition to capable tackle. I really like hedging with that kind of player as he not only will fill an immediate position of need (LG) but his versatility can only help if injury strikes or Kalil struggles. I like having another horse in the stable at a "premiere" position rather than being forced to potentially have to take a LT in 2016 if Kalil proves he can't be relied on as a starting NFL LT.
I'm torn. Gurley's injury history would make me hesitant to select him that high. I think Gordon could be worth it but then again, I'm not sure Coleman can't be just as good and most have him going in R2. I'm very curious to see when the RBs will be drafted in this class. At some point in R1 or the first half of R2, I'm expecting a run on the position.*exhales*
That's the $64,000 question, isn't it. As deep as this RB class is and the fact that I think McKinnon can be a decent back already in the stable, I'd take one in rounds 2-3 if Peterson is gone, likely using the second-round pick we get on his replacement. The only one I'd take at 11 would be Gurley, and I think there are others more worthy of the pick at that position.
Yep. As I edited above, I wouldn't even be disappointed in the pick. It'd just make me more nervous is all (Chris Cook flashback). In a division with Rodgers and Stafford and Calvin Johnson, Jeffery, Nelson, Cobb, etc. having secondary as a position of strength would be a welcome scene (we've seen all to often how having a bad one can make winning games much more difficult). And I do think he's a good fit. Of course, I think any of the "Top Four" are good fits, too. But there's no guarantee that one of them will even be there at the bottom of the 1st/top of the second either.Mothman wrote:I understand. My take is that any player can disappoint but I firmly believe teams need to trust their evaluations and act accordingly. Waynes has been a good player for MSU and since DB is Zimmer's area of expertise, if the Vikes pulled the trigger on him at #11, I'd be willing to accept the idea that they felt he offered more value for what they're trying to build than some of the other players available. In other words, for what they're trying to build, maybe he will end up being the BPA. I've really come to believe that a good fit makes a big difference.
Does that make sense?
Clemmings/La'el Collins could also come off the board first, especially if some teams don't think Scherff can play LT (traditionally a more highly-valued position).In 2005, the first o-lineman didn't go off the board until pick #13 so it could happen... as you said, the unpredictability of the draft is a big part of what makes it fun!
I go back and forth on the injury. After all, was it not a collarbone that dropped Peterson? Granted, an ACL is more severe than collarbone (though seemingly a better/higher 100% recovery rate these days) but I wonder where his projection would be had he not sustained it. He has the overall talent to probably be in the top-15 consideration, even with the position value what some see it as. I think Vikings fans would be very upset if we took him at 11, but he's a guy to consider if we trade back. I think we'll see a RB run starting with Dallas' selection and a lot going in round 2.I'm torn. Gurley's injury history would make me hesitant to select him that high. I think Gordon could be worth it but then again, I'm not sure Coleman can't be just as good and most have him going in R2. I'm very curious to see when the RBs will be drafted in this class. At some point in R1 or the first half of R2, I'm expecting a run on the position.
Is that conditional on Peterson?I don't think it's going to happen but I would love to see the Vikes invest one of their first two picks in an RB. That probably wouldn't be popular with a lot of the fan base but in terms of a "best player available" philosophy, I think there's going to be talent at that position it might be foolish to pass up.
Yeah. I can see why Rick values them so highly. I think we should get an extra couple of second-rounders. I mean, it's the Vikings; our handicap should allow at least that.We need more picks.
I think so too.dead_poet wrote:I go back and forth on the injury. After all, was it not a collarbone that dropped Peterson? Granted, an ACL is more severe than collarbone (though seemingly a better/higher 100% recovery rate these days) but I wonder where his projection would be had he not sustained it. He has the overall talent to probably be in the top-15 consideration, even with the position value what some see it as.
No. At this point, sadly, I'm feeling like the writing is probably on the wall and that if even if peterson is a Viking in 2015, it will probably be his last season with the team. Consequently, I'd like to see them select one of the better RB prospects in this draft and begin grooming him as a potential replacement.Is that conditional on Peterson?
I don't know but my take on it is that because its unclear, they should take one of the better backs in the draft because there are some potential game-changers available. That might not be a popular sentiment but If they end up with an embarrassment of riches at the position in 2015, I don't see that as a problem.I also wonder how McKinnon fits into all this. I mean, if we didn't have him or he had an uninspiring 2014 I can see the position being of greater need and definitely worth spending a high-rounder. Of course he had to go out and exceed some expectations, the jerk.But I really don't know what the future holds for Peterson. Even if he is on the roster in 2015, is he in 2016? If we pass on a lot of potentially great runners in 2015, will we be upset with the crop in 2016 if we need one then? The more I think about it, the more the question mark of McKinnon really throws a wrench in my line of thinking. Is he "just a guy"? A load-carrying back? Change of pace?
Yeah. I can see why Rick values them so highly. I think we should get an extra couple of second-rounders. I mean, it's the Vikings; our handicap should allow at least that.
We could put McKinnon under center and run the triple option!Mothman wrote:That might not be a popular sentiment but If they end up with an embarrassment of riches at the position in 2015, I don't see that as a problem.![]()