dkoby wrote:
What if AD goes down on the first play? What if Kalil goes down on the next play?
They made a calculated move. Agree with it or not, they did something bold. At least they did something.
Every other team in the league has QB depth issues. Number one goes down and the chances of winning go down.
You can't fortell the future.
What if Bradford lights it up? What if, what if, what if?
I watched some highlight of bradfords from last year, he's much more mobile than I thought.
Exactly why given uncertainty, you should add value and favor likely improving the value of the team over many years over just a few in the present, and look at things that are certain...
1)The older player gets, the less likely he is to be able to add value. (You should generally prefer the same talent at a younger age with greater number of years on his contract).
2)Draft picks maintain value as priced in by other draft picks whereby earlie draft picks are perceived to be better, and if you disagree you can either trade for more draft picks later, and/or higher draft picks and/or more draft picks in additional years. Also, by the method of measuring draft pick value, you can get around a 50% ROI off of giving up draft picks this year for draft picks a round rarer next year, or draft picks next year for a round earlier the year following. (You should tend to save draft picks for the future, and reserve picks for player trades for all in moves that give you a substantial Super Bowl chance that would not be available in the next few years if you didn't make it)
3)More salary cap is preferable to less. (You shouldn't trade for players that cost you $7M this year, and should prefer to restructure player deals to free up room the following year)
4)Given the expected trajectory of many of the players, it will be very expensive to keep this team together, and without the additional 17M in cap room next year due to Bradford, we really just can't do it. That means rebuilding in the future..
The one thing we can agree upon is we can accept the cost of rebuilding if Bradford brings us a Super Bowl or if in 2017 season the combination of Bradford/Bridgewater get a Super Bowl played in our hometown.
5)Players that only have a week to prepare for one single game tend not to look as good as they did previously, no matter how talented they were when they came into the league (Remember Josh Freeman?)
I'm optimistic about a few things of this trade.
1)That Pat Shurmer will be able to script some plays that both our team and Bradford are comfortable with
2)That Bradford is a fast learner
3)That given one week before the Eagles prepared to enter the season with Bradford as a starter, the cost for every QB was likely insane, and so that given this information the cost to trade was not so bad as it could have been.. (Although I think we should not have made it because it's more likely to be a lose/lose this late in the process).
