Our annual Pick4 football contest held each year for bragging rights. All are welcome to play!
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Turtle Burger
All Pro Elite Player
Posts: 1987 Joined: Wed Nov 19, 2003 2:31 am
Location: Arizona
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by Turtle Burger » Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:56 pm
Congratulations to BGM and novellahub for perfect weeks! BGM finally put some daylight between himself and the rest of the field with his 3rd perfect week of the year, and now has a 50% chance of season victory with 9 weeks left to go. On the other end of the spectrum, Valhalla has 1600:1 odds against winning, so now is the time to put money on him before he starts his run.
Code: Select all
BGM 4 - 0
novellahub 4 - 0
beardedterror 3 - 1
Imac 3 - 1
viking_guy 3 - 1
Cliff 2 - 2
Darkwing 2 - 2
Demi 2 - 2
glg 2 - 2
riceville98 2 - 2
Turtle Burger 2 - 2
Barry 1 - 3
CalVike 1 - 3
Greg 1 - 3
Juice 1 - 3
PurpleMustReign 1 - 3
Valhalla 1 - 3
SEASON STANDINGS
Code: Select all
BGM 20 - 12 40 pts
glg 17 - 15 34 pts
Imac 17 - 15 34 pts
novellahub 17 - 15 34 pts
viking_guy 17 - 15 34 pts
Cliff 15 - 17 30 pts
Juice 15 - 17 30 pts
riceville98 15 - 17 30 pts
Demi 13 - 19 26 pts
PurpleMustReign 13 - 15 26 pts
Turtle Burger 13 - 19 26 pts
CalVike 12 - 19 - 1 25 pts
Darkwing 11 - 19 - 2 24 pts
Greg 11 - 20 - 1 23 pts
beardedterror 11 - 15 22 pts
Barry 10 - 19 - 1 21 pts
Hunter Morrow 10 - 17 - 1 21 pts
Valhalla 10 - 22 20 pts
glg
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by glg » Tue Oct 30, 2012 5:34 pm
Turtle Burger wrote: now has a 50% chance of season victory with 9 weeks left to go
How are you calculating that? Seems really high to me given the number of players less than 8 behind and the season less than half over...
PurpleMustReign
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by PurpleMustReign » Tue Oct 30, 2012 7:43 pm
How do you get a "tie"?
The Devil whispered in the Viking's ear, "There's a storm coming." The Viking replied, "I am the storm." #SKOL2018
Turtle Burger
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by Turtle Burger » Tue Oct 30, 2012 8:59 pm
glg wrote:
How are you calculating that? Seems really high to me given the number of players less than 8 behind and the season less than half over...
I simulated all the picks for the rest of the season, assuming 50% chance of getting each pick right and ignoring pushes.
6 points is pretty hard to make up considering you net only 4 points in an average week.
glg
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by glg » Thu Nov 01, 2012 10:06 pm
PurpleMustReign wrote: How do you get a "tie"?
spread matches final result
PurpleMustReign
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by PurpleMustReign » Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:10 am
glg wrote:
spread matches final result
Oh, duh. I knew that, I was seeing if others did...
The Devil whispered in the Viking's ear, "There's a storm coming." The Viking replied, "I am the storm." #SKOL2018