I sort of agree with that, but there is something that will get your GM butt fired faster than picking a bust of a QB and that's REACHING for that bust of a QB in the first round. We've argued reaching on this board before so I won't get into that, but if others believe it to be a reach, whether it's the fans, the public, other NFL people, etc, that still creates pressure on that GM. I believe it's actually much safer for GM's to play it "smart" and take what looks like a top prospect -somewhere else- because then it's more like "Well Carr was a bust in the 2nd, but C.J. Mosley's a stud" and so on.KSViking wrote: I do believe some QBs will go in the top 10 of this draft. Coaches and GMs buckle under the presssure because their jobs seem to be tied to having a good QB to lead the team to playoffs routinely. So, if a GM has fallen in love with one of the QBs, and they feel comfortable that this kid could keep them employed for next 10 years, they will pull that trigger. And the more GMs that start pulling triggers, causes this chain reaction. Even though we see a group of 8 guys or so that could be good fits, or lead the team. I believe the GMs have it narrowed down to 3-4 guys they are comfortable with, so if 2 of those guys go, they are going to do anything in their power to get one of the remaining ones.. Its why there always seems to be reaches on QBs. When a GM drafts a bad O-Lineman, or DB, or LB. Everyone says it sucks, but they don't generally lose their job over it, unless its an every year occurance. If you are on a QB needy team, and you draft a few bad QBs, you are out of the playoffs, and out of a job. Sort of like in basketball, the game winning/losing shot with no time left on the clock. You may have missed 5 earlier, but make this one, and your a hero. Miss it, and no matter how well you played earlier, your a bum.
You can say that's kind of what happened to Spielman, though the circumstances are a bit different regarding the picks. Ponder sucks but Matt Kalil, Harrison Smith, Patterson, Rhodes, etc all look pretty solid to me. That of course is over a few drafts but the idea is the same, stay safe with non-qb's in the 1st round, that way when round 2-3 guy doesn't pan out it's not a huge shock. If he takes Carr #8 overall, who I believe will be a bust, and it turns out carr IS a bust, I'll be furious! Granted, who knows how much that matters but I bet I wouldn't be the only one mad about strike #2 at first round QB's.
For this draft especially that tactic seems ultra good / safe.