Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Our annual Pick4 football contest held each year for bragging rights. All are welcome to play!

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Turtle Burger
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Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by Turtle Burger » Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:56 pm

Congratulations to BGM and novellahub for perfect weeks! BGM finally put some daylight between himself and the rest of the field with his 3rd perfect week of the year, and now has a 50% chance of season victory with 9 weeks left to go. On the other end of the spectrum, Valhalla has 1600:1 odds against winning, so now is the time to put money on him before he starts his run.

Code: Select all

BGM                 4 - 0
novellahub          4 - 0
beardedterror       3 - 1
Imac                3 - 1
viking_guy          3 - 1
Cliff               2 - 2
Darkwing            2 - 2
Demi                2 - 2
glg                 2 - 2
riceville98         2 - 2
Turtle Burger       2 - 2
Barry               1 - 3
CalVike             1 - 3
Greg                1 - 3
Juice               1 - 3
PurpleMustReign     1 - 3
Valhalla            1 - 3
SEASON STANDINGS

Code: Select all

BGM                 20 - 12         40 pts
glg                 17 - 15         34 pts
Imac                17 - 15         34 pts
novellahub          17 - 15         34 pts
viking_guy          17 - 15         34 pts
Cliff               15 - 17         30 pts
Juice               15 - 17         30 pts
riceville98         15 - 17         30 pts
Demi                13 - 19         26 pts
PurpleMustReign     13 - 15         26 pts
Turtle Burger       13 - 19         26 pts
CalVike             12 - 19 - 1     25 pts
Darkwing            11 - 19 - 2     24 pts
Greg                11 - 20 - 1     23 pts
beardedterror       11 - 15         22 pts
Barry               10 - 19 - 1     21 pts
Hunter Morrow       10 - 17 - 1     21 pts
Valhalla            10 - 22         20 pts
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glg
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Re: Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by glg » Tue Oct 30, 2012 5:34 pm

Turtle Burger wrote:now has a 50% chance of season victory with 9 weeks left to go
How are you calculating that? Seems really high to me given the number of players less than 8 behind and the season less than half over...
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PurpleMustReign
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Re: Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by PurpleMustReign » Tue Oct 30, 2012 7:43 pm

How do you get a "tie"?
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Turtle Burger
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Re: Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by Turtle Burger » Tue Oct 30, 2012 8:59 pm

glg wrote: How are you calculating that? Seems really high to me given the number of players less than 8 behind and the season less than half over...
I simulated all the picks for the rest of the season, assuming 50% chance of getting each pick right and ignoring pushes. :) 6 points is pretty hard to make up considering you net only 4 points in an average week.
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glg
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Re: Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by glg » Thu Nov 01, 2012 10:06 pm

PurpleMustReign wrote:How do you get a "tie"?
spread matches final result
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PurpleMustReign
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Re: Pick4 Week 8 -- Results

Post by PurpleMustReign » Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:10 am

glg wrote: spread matches final result
Oh, duh. I knew that, I was seeing if others did... 8)
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